Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.002651 0.002834 0.003031 0.003259 0.003520 0.003810 0.004161
2024-10-20 0.002294 0.002526 0.002789 0.003115 0.003513 0.003992 0.004628
2024-10-27 0.002109 0.002375 0.002691 0.003101 0.003633 0.004324 0.005330
2024-11-03 0.001884 0.002149 0.002472 0.002903 0.003484 0.004276 0.005505
2024-11-10 0.001801 0.002086 0.002442 0.002935 0.003633 0.004643 0.006361
2024-11-17 0.001742 0.002045 0.002434 0.002991 0.003816 0.005087 0.007472
2024-11-24 0.001663 0.001971 0.002374 0.002966 0.003872 0.005342 0.008335
2024-12-01 0.001624 0.001947 0.002377 0.003028 0.004067 0.005860 0.009948
2024-12-08 0.001567 0.001892 0.002333 0.003015 0.004138 0.006173 0.011275
2024-12-15 0.001503 0.001826 0.002268 0.002962 0.004132 0.006338 0.012323
2024-12-22 0.001480 0.001813 0.002278 0.003026 0.004336 0.006970 0.015232
2024-12-29 0.001455 0.001797 0.002280 0.003076 0.004522 0.007620 0.019021
2025-01-05 0.001405 0.001745 0.002231 0.003044 0.004561 0.007976 0.022427
2025-01-12 0.001338 0.001665 0.002136 0.002929 0.004428 0.007879 0.023537
2025-01-19 0.001302 0.001629 0.002106 0.002923 0.004509 0.008371 0.029475
2025-01-26 0.001228 0.001535 0.001982 0.002746 0.004222 0.007785 0.026650
2025-02-02 0.001208 0.001519 0.001978 0.002776 0.004371 0.008481 0.036556
2025-02-09 0.001193 0.001511 0.001985 0.002827 0.004572 0.009431 0.058192
2025-02-16 0.001164 0.001479 0.001952 0.002804 0.004606 0.009862 0.081168
2025-02-23 0.001153 0.001474 0.001963 0.002860 0.004831 0.011105 0.216376
2025-03-02 0.001129 0.001448 0.001938 0.002849 0.004893 0.011770 0.774965
2025-03-09 0.001099 0.001413 0.001896 0.002801 0.004856 0.012004 17.517514
2025-03-16 0.001091 0.001410 0.001909 0.002859 0.005101 0.013728 NaN